New Delhi. There is a possibility of more than normal rainfall across the country in the monsoon season starting from June 1, 2024. The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) said in its forecast on Monday that the rainfall is expected to be 106 percent of the long term average (LPA) above normal.
According to IMD, above normal rainfall is expected in most parts of the country except some areas of North-West, East and North-Eastern states. IMD chief Mrityunjay Mohapatra said in a press conference that the monsoon seasonal rainfall is likely to be 106 percent of the long term average (LPA) between June 1, 2024 and September 30, 2024 under the 2024 southwest monsoon over the entire country. He said that if the rainfall is between 96 percent to 104 percent of the long term average of seasonal rainfall then it is normal.
He said that 106 per cent rainfall falls in the category of above normal and if the rainfall is between 105 per cent to 110 per cent of the long term average then it is considered above normal. He said that La Nina conditions related to good monsoon are likely to be active by August-September.
Mrityunjay Mohapatra said at a press conference here that based on data between 1951-2023, the monsoon season in India received above normal rainfall on nine occasions when La Nina was followed by an El Nino event. According to the Meteorological Department, this time after the weakening of El Nino, the effect of La Nina will increase in the monsoon season. Its effect will be that there will be more rain than normal in the country.
According to IMD, this time there will be normal rainfall in most areas, but the opposite may happen in the north-western states. The Meteorological Department said that some northeastern states including Gujarat, Rajasthan, Punjab, Odisha, Bengal and Jammu and Kashmir may record below normal rainfall.